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The Owl focuses on the day’s top economic news.

ATB Financial’s economics team interprets the latest statistics on wages, employment, inflation, the oil and gas industry and other economic drivers in our province.


More housing news: New house prices stable

Posted on: August 11, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team

It’s been a week full of housing indicators. Earlier in the week July’s housing start numbers were released. Next came building permits. Now, we have the latest New Housing Price Index (NHPI) numbers and they show a sturdy new housing market as well.

The New Housing Price Index (NHPI) is a monthly series that measures changes over time in the contractors' selling prices of new residential houses. The index, has prices in 2016 set equal to 100.

As the chart below illustrates, prices were marginally higher in 2014 than the index’s base year (2016). This suggests that even though Alberta has been through two years of recession, the province’s housing market is on solid ground as the price of new homes have not fallen significantly. This is a bit surprising given the elevated rate of unemployment over the past year as well as shaky consumer confidence.

Like the Alberta-average, the new house price index for both Calgary and Edmonton has hovered around 100 for the last number of years as well. Despite the economic challenges in both cities, the price of building and selling a new house in either city has not changed dramatically since the boom years (2010-2014).

The latest new housing index numbers show that both Albertans and homebuilders still have confidence in our province’s housing market.New house price index, graph

Alberta Economic Outlook

ATB Financial’s Alberta Economic Outlook summarizes research on Alberta’s most important sectors, covering the first quarter of 2015. It analyzes the province’s economic happenings and outlines what may occur in the next quarter. Read the Outlooks below for the latest on our economy.

Q1 2015 | Q2 2015

Building permits a mixed bag

Posted on: August 10, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
As yesterday’s Owl noted, the pace of new housing in our province is solid. But, new data shows signs that this pace might not continue.

Housing starts solid in July

Posted on: August 09, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
Oil prices may be stuck below $US 50 a barrel, but that doesn’t seem to be diminishing the optimism of Alberta’s home builders. Demand for new homes appears to be steady.

Alberta’s exposure to Venezuela

Posted on: August 08, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
A country that has been in the news for all the wrong reasons lately is Venezuela. The South American oil producing nation has spiralled into a sad state of violence and political instability.

July’s job report a flop

Posted on: August 04, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
After several promising months during the first half of the year, Alberta’s job picture kicked off the second half of 2017 with a resounding thud.

Beef producers face another hurdle

Posted on: August 03, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
At the beginning of the year, beef producers in Alberta were worried about bovine tuberculosis and sliding prices, but recently a new threat has emerged. Alberta beef producers are now facing a large tariff hike imposed by Japan.

Albertans least likely to live alone

Posted on: August 02, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
Last year, only 24 per cent of Alberta households were occupied by only one person. That’s the lowest among the provinces and below the national average of 28.2 per cent.

Strong housing numbers means more vacant housing

Posted on: August 01, 2017 | Author: ATB Financial's Economics + Research Team
So far, housing starts have shown real strength and have defied expectations. Unfortunately, a higher rate of building means that more new houses are being left vacant or unabsorbed.

 

Perch

Each Perch focuses on a topic that’s important to Alberta​ns.

While many of us can probably cite the daily price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude, there is room to improve our understanding of just how much oil we have, how much we produce and who buys it. This edition of Perch presents a handy set of answers to these questions.

So sit back and enjoy. ​


Read Perch now

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The Economic Team​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ (Left to right: Nick Ford, Todd Hirsch and Rob Roach)

Our Economics Team​​​

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Todd Hirsch

Chief Economist

Todd Hirsch is the Chief Economist at ATB Financial. At ATB, Todd spends the bulk of his time sharing the story of Alberta’s economy in clear-eyed and energetic talks across the province and the rest of the country.

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Nick Ford

Economist

Nick Ford is an Economist at ATB Financial. Nick joined ATB’s Economics and Research team in February 2014 where he researches, tracks and reports on economic indicators and trends that impact Albertans.

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Rob Roach

Director of Insight

As a Director of Insight with ATB Financial’s Economics and Research team, Rob examines the economic and social forces that affect Albertans’ quality of life.

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ATB’s Extended Reports​

Black gold

Alberta's oil resources

Read the report.

Tightening Santa's belt

Holiday spending and travel intentions (December 2016)

Read the report.

Preparing for success

Post-secondary education in Alberta (September 2016)

Read the report.

Selling our wares

Alberta's international exports (May 2016)

Read the report.

Happiness in Alberta

The full results of ATB Financial’s Alberta Happiness Survey (June 2015)

Read the report.

Hanging out your shingle

Self-employment in Alberta (November 2015)

Read the report.

People power

Population trends in Alberta (March 2016)

Read the report.

The Owl

The latest developments in business and economics from a unique Albertan perspective.

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