The Twenty-Four Seven by ATB
Welcome to The Twenty-Four Seven. With a fresh new look, The Twenty-Four Seven delivers the analyses, insights and news you’ve come to expect from our team of economic experts.
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Chart of the Week
Chart of the Week: On route to 7 million
The demographics team at Alberta Treasury Board and Finance (TBF) have released new detailed population projections for Alberta out to 2051.
The near-term numbers line up closely to our latest economic forecast—a period of slower population growth in 2026 and 2027 due to NPR outflows. Then a normalization. It averages out to 1.3% population growth between now and 2051 (medium-growth scenario). That’s much higher than national forecasts due to two factors: 1) interprovincial migration; and 2) natural increases (births minus deaths).
In the absence of a crystal ball, TBF runs low and high scenarios as well. TBF’s medium-growth projection is pretty close to Statistics Canada’s M2 medium-growth scenario. In that scenario, Alberta exceeds B.C.'s population by 2038 to become Canada’s third most populous province.
Bottom line: Expect around 7 million Albertans by 2051 (up from 5 million today), with a population that’s older and more urban than you see right now.
Economic Insights Focused on Alberta's Economy
ATB’s team of economists make sense of the latest data and trends in daily insights delivered right to your inbox.
THE TWENTY-FOUR (daily)
Retail sales, the unemployment rate, population growth, inflation, international trade—these are just a few of the economic trends the team makes sense of in ATB’s daily insights.
Getting warmer
But still waiting for the Canadian labour market to really heat up
Working smarter
Labour productivity across Canada
Behind the scenes
What the CPI actually measures
THE SEVEN (weekly)
A review of the key economic highlights of the week impacting Alberta.
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