The Twenty-Four Seven by ATB

Welcome to The Twenty-Four Seven. With a fresh new look, The Twenty-Four Seven delivers the analyses, insights and news you’ve come to expect from our team of economic experts.

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ATB's Quarterly Alberta Economic Outlook

ATB leverages its understanding of Alberta's economy to produce a quarterly economic forecast for the province.

Chart of the week

January 31, 2025

Chart of the Week: The dark cloud of uncertainty

We know that tariffs hurt the economy through the trade channel by reducing the demand for Canadian goods. 

What’s missing (and harder to model) is the impact of uncertainty. The ‘on and off’ again nature of Trump threats puts a chill on investment. Also thrown into the mix is domestic policy uncertainty. In Canada, federal policy is in flux, with a prorogued parliament, a  liberal leadership race and a pending election. 

In short, not a lot of clarity on what policy looks like on both sides of the borders.

Uncertainty sounds like a nebulous concept, and nearly impossible to measure. That didn’t stop economists Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Stephen Davis from trying. They created an index based on media references. While not perfect, their index is correlated with other proxies like stock market volatility. It also foreshadows investment and employment declines.  

In Canada, that index spiked to its highest level since COVID. So yes, uncertainty is holding back already sluggish levels of business investment, something the Bank of Canada noted this week.

Economic Insights Focused on Alberta's Economy

ATB’s team of economists make sense of the latest data and trends in daily insights delivered right to your inbox.

THE TWENTY-FOUR (daily)

Retail sales, the unemployment rate, population growth, inflation, international trade—these are just a few of the economic trends the team makes sense of in ATB’s daily insights.

Beyond our borders part two

Alberta’s exports to countries other than the U.S. in 2024

Beyond our borders part one

Alberta’s exports to the U.S. in 2024

The best year so far

Alberta’s oil production in 2024

                                   Read more daily insights >

THE SEVEN (weekly)

A review of the key economic highlights of the week impacting Alberta.

The Seven, January 31, 2025

Tariff reality bites

The Seven, January 24, 2025

Cutting through the uncertainty

The Seven, January 17, 2025

The weekend before inauguration

                                   Read more weekly insights >

Meet ATB's Economics team

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