indicatorMarkets

Weekly Market Update - August 4, 2026

By Jason Crumley | Alek Sawchuk, CFA | Sherwin Pasha, CFA 4 August 2026 4 min read

Equity Market Commentary

North American equity markets diverged this week, with the S&P 500 ending in positive territory. Investors shrugged off technology-driven volatility and rising bond yields after the US Federal Reserve opted to hold interest rates unchanged. The TSX Composite closed slightly lower but was cushioned by its information technology sector, led by strong quarterly results from Celestica and renewed support for Constellation Software.

However, mounting skepticism surrounding the AI spending boom has triggered a broader global technology sell-off, pulling Korea’s KOSPI index and the Nasdaq down 30% and 8.1%, respectively, from their June peaks.

Telus shares declined last week after reporting results that fell below market expectations. Highlights of results include a 55% cut to its dividend to a quarterly rate of $0.1875 per share dropping its yield to 5.5%. Former CIBC CEO Victor Dodig recently accepted the leadership position at Telus as long time Telus CEO Darren Entwistle stepped down. 

Earnings from four of the Magnificent Seven giants dominated corporate headlines. Apple shares fell 7.4% following a subdued revenue growth forecast caused by severe supply chain constraints for advanced chips and memory components. Although iPhone sales rose 22% and Mac sales jumped 29%, decelerating growth in higher-margin Services concerned investors. CEO Tim Cook noted that Big Tech’s massive data centre buildout is straining semiconductor supplies, raising fears that recent device sales were a temporary pull-forward ahead of expected price hikes.

Market reactions across the remaining technology titans were divided. Microsoft shares surged 15.5% as enterprise adoption of M365 Copilot helped drive stronger-than-expected cloud growth of 43%, while a restrained capital expenditure outlook and robust revenue guidance eased cash flow fears. Amazon shares gained 15.3% after a 37% surge in AWS cloud sales, marking its fastest growth in 18 quarters. This performance, alongside strong bookings through 2027 helped justify raising its annual capital expenditure budget to U.S. $220 billion. 

Conversely, Meta tumbled 8.0% as heavy AI infrastructure outlays drove a 91% drop in free cash flow, while capital expenditure guidance was narrowed toward the higher end of its range. Lacking a dedicated cloud division to commercialize its data centre buildout, Meta's vague plan to lease excess capacity left investors skeptical.

These contrasting market reactions across Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta demonstrate that investors are favouring cloud leaders capable of immediately converting soaring AI capital expenditures into accelerating enterprise revenue, while penalizing platforms whose heavy outlays erode free cash flow without near-term returns.

Bond Market Commentary

Last week, economic data and central bank decisions shaped bond markets as investors juggled slowing U.S growth against resilient consumer demand, renewed energy induced inflation risks, and a busy slate of global policy announcements.

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged Wednesday at 3.50%-3.75% in what marked Kevin Warch’s second meeting as Fed Chair. However, the decision was not unanimous, with three FOMC members dissenting in favour of a 25 basis point rate hike. While the Fed acknowledged that the economy continues to be supported by robust productivity growth, business investment, and a stable labour market, they provided little indication of a path forward. Meanwhile, renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a drawdown in U.S. crude inventories pushed the market’s focus back toward inflation. As a result, investors demanded a higher term premium on long duration treasuries. Following the rate decision, the 30-year yield rose 12.9 basis points to 5.2%, its highest level in 19 years, while the policy sensitive 2-year yield fell 2.8 basis points to 4.3%, reflecting a correction on immediate rate hike expectations.

Canadian GDP rose 0.3% month-over-month in May, driven by strength in the mining, oil and gas, and manufacturing sectors. The stronger than expected data pushed Canadian government bond yields higher across the curve, particularly at the front end, as markets modestly repriced expectations for the path of future Bank of Canada rate decisions. The 10-year yield rose 6 basis points on Friday to end at 3.66%.

In corporate credit, Rogers Communications is balancing deleveraging with growth following its pending C$4.35 billion acquisition of the remaining 25% of MLSE, which is expected to be completed before year-end. Investors are paying close attention to Rogers debt situation as the company balances major acquisitions with efforts to sell other assetsTo preserve its investment-grade rating, which currently sits at BBB-/Baa3 and prevent a potential downgrade to high yield (commonly referred to as “junk” status), Rogers announced plans to sell a 20% to 30% stake in its C$25 billion sports and media portfolio by the first half of 2027. The company expects to raise roughly C$7.5 billion to lower leverage and preserve its investment grade status. Maintaining an investment grade rating is critical for Rogers, as a downgrade to high yield could trigger exclusion from major bond indices, increase borrowing costs, and narrow the pool of investors willing to hold its debt.

The Week Ahead

Monday: US ISM Manufacturing PMI

Tuesday: SpaceX and AMD earnings

Wednesday: US ISM Services PMI, Shopify and Eli Lilly earnings

Thursday: Canadian Natural Resources earnings

Friday: US and Canada Employment Reports, Constellation Software earnings

ATB Wealth experts are ready to listen.

Whether you're a beginner or an experienced investor, we can help.