indicatorMarkets

Weekly Market Update - April 20, 2026

By Jason Crumley | Alek Sawchuk, CFA | Sherwin Pasha, CFA 20 April 2026 4 min read

Equity Market Commentary

North American equity markets rallied last week, with the S&P 500 hitting a record high to erase all Iran war losses and the TSX Composite nearing its peak. Market sentiment was buoyed by optimism for a US-Iran diplomatic deal, while a Lebanon ceasefire prompted a limited reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for the duration of the ceasefire. This relief drove WTI crude oil prices down to the US$80s and returned the US dollar to pre-war levels. Surprisingly, this occurred despite the US imposing its own blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, a geopolitical escalation that threatens to further choke off global oil flows if negotiations deteriorate. Against this backdrop, the information technology sector led both the TSX and the S&P 500, with cloud and chip stocks driving the US benchmark.

The corporate earnings season kicked off with the major US banks taking centre stage, collectively reporting a surge in investment banking and trading revenues fuelled by the market volatility surrounding the war. Morgan Stanley shares jumped 4.5% on an earnings beat driven by rising M&A advisory fees, record equity trading tied to war volatility, and record wealth management revenues. Bank of America shares rose 1.8% after beating earnings estimates, supported by rising net interest income, higher trading revenues, lower-than-expected credit loss provisions, and strong investment banking fees. Shares of Citigroup climbed 2.6% on the back of its markets business, tempered by a higher-than-expected provision for credit losses tied to consumer cards and a US$579 million allowance for credit loss build. However, not all banking giants were rewarded. JPMorgan shares slipped 0.8% despite beating earnings and revenue estimates on strength in commodities, currencies, credit, and emerging markets. Investors instead focused on the firm lowering its 2026 net interest income guidance. Shares of Goldman Sachs dropped 1.9% despite posting stronger-than-expected earnings as a surge in investment banking fees was overshadowed by a US$910 million miss in fixed-income operations and rising credit loss provisions due to wholesale loan impairments. Finally, Wells Fargo shares tumbled 5.7% after missing revenue and interest income estimates, warning that rising energy prices will strain its core consumer banking segment that accounts for over 40% of the firm's total revenue.

Outside the banking sphere, Netflix shares tumbled 9.7% despite an earnings beat fuelled by a US$2.8 billion termination fee from its collapsed Warner Bros. Discovery deal. The selloff was driven by an earnings and revenue forecast that missed estimates, higher pulled-forward costs, and news that co-founder Reed Hastings will exit the board this coming June. Waste management company GFL Environmental’s shares fell 9.6% after announcing a $6.4 billion acquisition of Calgary-based Secure Waste Infrastructure, whose shares rose 5.1%, to expand its western Canadian footprint. The offer of $24.75 per share represented a 16% premium to the prior day’s share price.

Bond Market Commentary

In bond markets, as the Iran war entered its seventh week, ceasefire negotiations bolstered market optimism and lowered corporate bond credit spreads down to pre-war levels–a favourable opportunity for US banks to take advantage of lower borrowing rates amidst first-quarter earnings results. With markets hopeful that an end to the conflict is in sight, bond prices rallied pushing yields lower. US corporate investment grade credit spreads, which measure the additional yield (risk premium) for taking on the credit risk of corporate bond issuers over lower-risk government bonds, declined 0.03% to 0.79%, from prior week highs of 0.82%. However, this spread tightening was not observed in all US corporate bonds, as high-yield (non-investment grade) software exposed bonds, threatened by AI disruption, declined markedly in value since the start of 2026. As a result, Bloomberg’s High Yield technology spread index increased from around 4.21% since the start of the year, to 4.88%–  largely driven by software loan concerns, which have also created negative crosswinds for the private credit sector.

The private credit industry has faced ongoing concerns related to lending standards, rising fund redemption requests, valuation transparency, and software loan exposure. JPMorgan, Bank of America (BoA), Citigroup, and Wells Fargo reported a combined total of over USD$100 billion tied to private credit lending portfolios. Instilling some private credit confidence, the “big four” US commercial banks highlighted their modest private credit exposure, limited losses, strong financial positioning, and ability to mark down eligible collateral in the event of credit deterioration. JPMorgan’s CEO, Jamie Dimon, affirmed that “you have to have very large losses in private credit before banks get hit”. Further reflecting confidence in the private credit asset manager’s outlook, prominent fixed income asset manager PIMCO purchased USD$400 million in private credit manager Blue Owl’s newly issued capital bonds. The Blue Owl bond, rated BBB- (the lowest tier of investment grade rating) is set to mature in 2028, and was priced to yield roughly 6.5%. Separately, Goldman Sach’s private credit vehicle sold USD$750 million in 5-year fixed rate bonds, also rated BBB-, and priced to yield around 6.42%. These bond proceeds were intended to repay a portion of outstanding indebtedness and fund general corporate purposes.

Outside of the private credit bond issuances by Blue Owl and Goldman Sachs, Wall Street banks returned to investment grade lending. Bank of America (BoA) looked to raise USD$10 billion (revised upwards from USD$8.5 billion) from a high-grade bond sale, with maturities ranging from 4 to 11 years–matching similar maturities sold by JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley last week. BoA's longest bond, maturing in 2037, was priced at a 1.18% premium above US treasuries. Collectively, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs raised a combined USD$26.5 billion from bond sales through Wednesday (Bloomberg), marking the busiest week for US corporate investments in over a month.

The Week Ahead

Monday: CA Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation, 

Tuesday: US retail sales, General Electric (GE) earnings 

Wednesday: Tesla earnings

Thursday: US S&P Composite PMI, Lockheed Martin earnings

Friday: University of Michigan sentiment, Procter & Gamble (P&G) earnings

 

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