indicatorMarkets

Weekly Market Update - July 6, 2026

By Jason Crumley | Alek Sawchuk, CFA | Sherwin Pasha, CFA 6 July 2026 4 min read

Equity Market Commentary

In a shortened holiday trading week, North American equity markets closed on a high note. The S&P 500 was led by the communication services sector, heavily lifted by Meta and Alphabet. Conversely, the same sector was the primary laggard on the TSX. Shares of Canadian telecom heavyweights Rogers Communications, Bell, and Telus each plunged roughly 7% to 9% after the federal telecom regulator launched a formal inquiry into their wireless fees. Adding to the broader macroeconomic angst in Canada was the US decision against renewing its trilateral trade deal with Canada and Mexico.

Canadian telecommunications providers declined last week as the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) announced it will investigate if the companies broke new rules that banned charges for activating, changing or cancelling accounts to discourage switching. While BCE, Telus, and Rogers are disputing the accusations, their share prices continue to decline from a variety of factors including mounting regulatory pressure, managing debt and attempts to improve profitability and growth.

Pembina Pipeline Corporation shares climbed 1.6% after the company and its partners greenlit the $4.6-billion Greenlight Electricity Centre north of Edmonton to power a major, undisclosed data centre. This 932-megawatt natural gas plant will absorb local gas supply and shield the consumer grid by forcing technology developers to build their own power infrastructure. The landmark project underscores Alberta’s rapid emergence as a premier, regulation and energy-friendly data centre hub.

In the US, Nike shares rose 4.9% following an earnings beat, though the victory was heavily supported by a US$986 million tariff refund that expanded gross margins. This masked fundamental pressures, including a 12% sales drop in Greater China and double-digit declines in sportswear as management warned of a strained global consumer. Despite a recent brand lift from its World Cup marketing campaign, Nike reiterated that its turnaround will be non-linear, prompting a flat earnings outlook for the first half of the next fiscal year and cautious sentiment ahead of an upcoming chief financial officer transition.

The capital-intensive AI arms race continues to reshape public markets. South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix officially filed to raise up to US$29 billion through a secondary listing of American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on the Nasdaq, granting access to a broader US investor base. If successful, this would mark the second-largest IPO in history behind SpaceX’s US$85.7 billion raise. As a critical supplier of high-bandwidth memory chips for AI systems to companies like Nvidia and Google, the firm will use these proceeds to fund costly manufacturing capacity expansions.

Bond Market Commentary

Last week in bond markets, the largest foreign holder of US treasuries witnessed its currency hit 40-year lows, while a weaker-than-expected US jobs June payroll report pushed out expectations for the next fully priced Federal Reserve rate hike from October to December. In Canada, stronger-than-expected April gross domestic product (GDP), a measure of economic activity, put the second quarter on track for positive annualized growth—easing investors’ technical recession fears and further reducing the probability for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to cut rates. Despite all this, interest rates in Canada closed the week relatively unchanged at the shorter end of the yield curve. Lastly, a major private credit firm capped outsized quarterly redemptions to 5%. 

The Japanese yen fell to its lowest level since 1986 against the US dollar, primarily driven by concerns over higher fiscal spending plans, an uncertain economic outlook, and lower relative interest rates versus the US and other major economies—where the Bank of Japan (BoJ)  recently hiked its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 1% last month. Notably, Japan is the largest foreign holder of US Treasury bonds, with roughly US$1.2 trillion in holdings according to the US Department of Treasury’s April month-end data. Investors predict a weakening yen may prompt Japan to sell a portion of these US assets to support yen-buying intervention operations, potentially pressuring US yields higher. This may already be evidenced by the stark US$77.1 billion decline in Japanese foreign exchange reserves in May 2026, according to Bloomberg data.

Blue Owl Capital capped quarterly withdrawals at 5% for two of its private credit funds, following outsized second quarter redemption requests. These caps are essential for preventing the disorderly liquidation of private assets and protecting long-term fund objectives. According to Bloomberg, investors sought to withdraw roughly 18.8% from Blue Owl’s US$36 billion Credit Income Corp fund (OCIC) and 38.1% from its technology-focused income fund (OTIC), a decline from the 21.9% and 40.7% witnessed in the prior quarter, respectively. Blue Owl equity shares (OWL) rose in response to the news, as the redemption requests represented a deceleration from the prior quarter—despite still far exceeding the 5% withdrawal caps. This decision comes amidst persistent private credit industry concerns regarding lending standards, valuation transparency, and rising redemption pressures across private fund peers. Ultimately, while these funds offer an illiquidity premium through higher potential returns, they are often misunderstood by investors who may not fully appreciate the inherent realities of private assets, such as strict capital lock-up periods and challenges accessing capital in a timely manner.

The Week Ahead

Monday: US S&P Global Composite PMI & ISM Services Index 

Thursday: PepsiCo earnings

Friday: Cdn unemployment rate 

References

Past performance is not indicative of future performance. 

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