indicatorMarkets

Weekly Market Update - May 11, 2026

By Jason Crumley | Alek Sawchuk, CFA | Sherwin Pasha, CFA 11 May 2026 5 min read

Equity Market Commentary

Last week, the S&P 500 surged to a record high, fuelled by optimism that a US-Iran peace deal is imminent. This geopolitical relief sent WTI crude prices tumbling below US$100 per barrel, simultaneously driving a rally in gold. Despite the gold bump, which helped the materials sector lead the TSX Composite, the index remained largely unchanged. The information technology sector, lifted by AI infrastructure demand, drove the S&P 500. Meanwhile, the economic toll of the war on Iran led to US air carrier Spirit Airlines ceasing operations after its second bankruptcy in two years, costing 17,000 jobs. Overwhelmed by soaring jet fuel prices and the denial of a government bailout, the low-cost carrier's demise signals an era of industry consolidation and higher airfares for US travellers. Historically, Spirit's low-cost model had pressured competing airlines to reduce their fares on shared routes. Airlines in Canada and globally are concerned about profitability as dramatic fuel price increases continue to impact margins. On the other hand, the energy sector continues to be the best-performing sector in both Canada and the US in 2026 as surging oil prices are supporting revenue. 

In the technology space, AI dominated the corporate narrative. AMD shares soared 18.6% after reporting strong earnings and issuing robust guidance. The chipmaker is rapidly cementing itself as a formidable Nvidia alternative, bolstered by demand for its upcoming "Helios" AI data centre systems from giants like Meta and OpenAI. AMD is also benefitting from renewed interest in CPUs. However, the market punished companies for increased spending plans without expectations for commensurate growth in revenues. Shopify shares plunged 15.6% despite stronger-than-expected earnings and an eightfold increase in AI-driven traffic. Higher projected operating expenses and a decelerating growth forecast weighed on investor sentiment. Similarly, Palantir stock dropped 7% despite delivering 85% revenue growth and quadrupling net income. The stock was dragged lower by priced-to-perfection commercial expectations and the CFO's warning of rising expenses tied to talent acquisition and product development.

In Canadian corporate news, intense wireless price competition and high churn pressured first-quarter results for telecom giants Telus and BCE, but both providers highlighted a shared growth catalyst with Brookfield Asset Management: AI infrastructure. Recognizing the massive physical power and compute requirements of the AI boom, all three companies are aggressively expanding their data centre footprints, with BCE raising its AI revenue target to $2 billion by 2028 and Brookfield citing data centres as a significant tailwind for its real asset portfolio.

Defying macroeconomic anxieties and recent pain at the pump, the American consumer remains remarkably resilient. Shares of Uber and Disney rallied at 8.5% and 7.5%, respectively, following quarterly results that countered expectations of spending fatigue. Executives at both firms noted no significant evidence of consumers trading down or pulling back on food delivery, travel, or leisure. This highlights the stickiness of consumer demand for experiences and convenience, even as household budgets face inflationary pressures.

Bond Market Commentary

Last week in bond markets, weaker Canadian employment reports triggered a rally in Canadian government bonds, pushing yields lower across the curve as investors dampened conviction for Bank of Canada (BoC) rate hikes in 2026. The 2 year Canadian government yield moved 8 basis points lower to close the week off at 2.86%. In contrast, US payroll data came in stronger than anticipated, exhibiting formidable employment growth, while wage growth came in below expectations. The resilient US labor market performance amidst the Iran war, combined with subdued wage inflation, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its wait-and-see approach and keep rates on hold for the remainder of 2026, based on swap market and futures pricing.

Following Magnificent Seven earnings and Meta's oversubscribed US$25 billion bond deal from the prior week.Alphabet raised approximately US$17 billion equivalent, encompassing a €9 billion euro-denominated sale and their first-ever $8.5 billion of Canadian-denominated bonds— diversifying outside US-denominated funding sources after raising full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance (with AI infrastructure being a key spending driver). Separately, pharmaceutical company Eli Lilly raised US$9 billion in investment-grade bonds to fund its portfolio expansion of biotechnology acquisitions, in addition to general corporate purposes.

Alphabet’s 9 billion euro-denominated deal was offered in six parts, with maturities ranging from 4 to 37 years, and was at a high-grade S&P AA+ rating. The longest-maturity bond was priced to yield around 4.84%. While the euro-denominated deal saw strong book demand and highlighted investors' continued strong appetite for hyperscaler debt and AI infrastructure initiatives, and the yield was still at a slight premium to their November 2025 euro issuances. This may reflect investors requiring higher compensation for absorbing large volumes of hyperscaler debt to fund AI initiatives, alongside broader macroeconomic factors such as rising yields stemming from energy price inflation due to the war in Iran. Additionally, Alphabet’s historic $8.5 billion first-ever Canadian-denominated bond offer was in four parts, with maturities ranging from 5 to 30 years, rated AA+(S&P). The longest-dated bond was priced to yield 5.06%. 

In a move toward greater transparency, Apollo Global Management announced plans to offer investors daily valuation for its private credit funds, departing from the industry’s standard quarterly practice. The shift, which may prompt competitors to follow suit, is intended to provide greater transparency in fund pricing for investors of private assets, particularly new investors. Apollo believes this decision may lead to significant growth for the asset class. This decision comes amidst persistent private credit industry concerns regarding lending standards, valuation transparency, software loan exposure, and rising fund redemption requests. Apollo is targeting the end of June 2026 for daily valuation of investment-grade loans, with daily pricing for direct lending to follow by September 2026. In contrast, leading global asset manager BlackRock cut the value of its publicly traded private credit fund by roughly 5% due to troubled loans and lower returns. In response, BlackRock made efforts to improve credit quality by investing in more senior debt and strengthening its balance sheet.

The Week Ahead

Monday: KKR Capital Group earnings

Tuesday:  US Consumer Price Index (CPI) Inflation 

Wednesday: Cisco earnings, US Producer Price Index (PPI) 

Thursday: US Retail Sales

Friday: CA Manufacturing Sales

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